As noted in this morning's earlier post, NY-20 was the major outlier in the races where other polls could be compared to Majority Watch's work. Today's Siena Poll in that race adds more reason for skepticism. It shows Gillibrand trailing Sweeney by 14 points. The Majority Watch poll, taken around the same time, shows her ahead by 13, a 27-point spread.
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The Siena poll is crap. Their board of directors is all Sweeney supporters. Doubt the Majority Watch polls, if you like (they're untested), but better to compare them to Survery USA and Rasmussen, which are the best.
I don't think either poll is right. Gillibrand just released another poll that shows her up by 2. I think NY-20 is probably a toss-up.
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