The Sound of Silence

I searched the morning papers for Randy Kuhl's statement on the Iraq war and found nothing.* Finally, thanks to Rochesterturning, I noticed that Kuhl has issued a statement on his web site. The reason it hasn't been reported is pretty clear: it says nothing new about his position on the war.

Kuhl says that he's waiting for the September 15 formal report to Congress on the 18 mandated benchmarks. Of course, the GAO has already reported that the scorecard is 11 of 18 missed, with 4 of the remaining 7 only "partially accomplished". But this is an important decision, and Kuhl has the right to look at all of the data available before making it.

Kuhl's statement made another interesting claim: "I am in complete support of starting to bring our men and women home this month." I assume that's a reference to Petraeus' testimony that the additional 30,000 troops devoted to the "surge" can be back by next Summer, with the first contingent of 2,200 Marines returning this month (the Washington Post has the details).

The developing mainstream Republican strategy seems to be to sell the return of the 30,000 troops devoted to the surge as the start of a withdrawal. That's used-car-salesman arithmetic. Bringing back the surge troops by next Summer simply returns the troop count in Iraq to January, 2006 levels. Moreover, this withdrawal is one of necessity, not of choice, as this exchange between Petraeus and Senator Jack Reed (D-RI) demonstrates.

To a constituency hungry for change in Iraq, this non-withdrawal withdrawal is pretty thin soup. Kuhl's hesitancy to come out with a solid statement might indicate that he's debating changing his position on the war. Perhaps the report on September 15, which will no doubt recognize the Iraqi government's almost total failure to move forward, will give him some cover to do that.

*Update: Of course, as soon as I make a categorical statement like that, I find a Star-Gazette story on Kuhl's press release.

Update 2: And the Corning Leader.