Mid-Morning Kuhl Is He or Isn't He Update

He tells the Star-Gazette that we'll find out on Friday.  The Hornell Evening Tribune quotes Kuhl saying that he "giggles" when he sees retirement rumors.

Comments

From the Hornell Tribune....

Actually, I’ve decided to make the announcement to quell the rumors,” Kuhl said. “I think, at this point, people need to know what I’ve decided I’m going to do.

Actualy, I think those people who have to know, are PAC people who will not give him a dime, unless they know that he is running for reelection.

Randy Kuhl only has 25 days left until this reporting period is over. If he doesn't raise any money, don't be shocked if you start to hear rumblings of him getting an opponent in the GOP primary.

Maybe this is why he needs his announcement, so people will give him $$ at this event.

Wednesday, March 12, 2008
Congressman Randy Kuhl
Luncheon hosted by CORE PAC, CULAC PAC, Verizon PAC & Republican Mainstreet Partnership PAC
With Special Guest Congressman John Boehner
12:00 pm - 1:30 pm
The Credit Union House, 403 C Street, NE, SE
Washington, DC
$1,000 PAC ~ $500 Individual

or this event

Tuesday, April 15, 2008
Congressman Randy Kuhl
Transportation Industry Breakfast hosted by
Congressman John Mica
8:00 - 9:00 a.m.
Capitol Hill Club
300 First Street, SE
Washington, DC
$1,000 PAC ~ $500 Individual

I think you're right that he needs to announce so PACs will take him seriously, because they were burned by the late retirements of Walsh and others.

As for a primary opponent, rumors are flying, but whoever came out of a primary would probably end up with even less $$ than Kuhl to face Massa in the general. It's just a bad situation for him, as it is for other Republicans. If it was going to be easy this cycle, we wouldn't have seen as many retirements.

Thats where a self-funding Republican candidate would come in. Bill Nojay and Geoff Rosenberger did self-fund their races last time; but pulled out.

But they aren't from the Southern Tier where a Republican primary vote is weighted. A self-funded Republican from the Southern Tier could knock out Kuhl, making the arguement to the people;

"NY is going to lose 2 seats in 2012, and they will both be from upstate. If someone has to be saved its not going to be Kuhl, who barely hangs on in a safe GOP seat, and has lots of baggage. Elect me, who will be here after 2012 etc,"

If this dream person exists, name him or her. Is there another Houghton around?

with the right media play, i think a self-financed candidate from monroe could carry that area and presumably ontario and maybe chemung counties. remember--had mark assini had the dollars, that original primary might have gone a different direction.

the messenger post is reporting that he announced that hes running again....