Responsible New York, Tom Golisano's political committee, has endorsed Eric Massa.
The AP reports that this election will be historic. It's likely that we'll have the fewest Republicans representing us since sometime before the Civil War.
The Kuhl campaign reports that Randy knocked on doors in Monroe County, visited Gro-Moore Farms in Henrietta, and is now headed to Ontario and Yates Counties. Tomorrow, he'll be in Yates and Chemung Counties.
The Massa campaign has put out a call for volunteers as part of their get out the vote operation. Offices and phone numbers after the break. The Massa campaign is planning on mobilizing 2,000 volunteers.
Here are the Massa office, which are open from at least 9 AM to 9 PM through Tuesday.
Corning Office
79 West Market Street
Corning, NY 14830
(607) 936-3098Victor Office
139 Turk Hill Rd.
Victor, NY 14564
(585) 425-4013Horseheads Office
105 Fletcher St.
Horseheads, NY 14845
(607) 846-3656Olean Office
315 W. State St.
Olean, NY 14760
716-478-6889
Comments
They will need those 2000 vols., I think.
The same you that most likely need some form of welfare.
Sorry that was garbled, trouble with my connection here. Trust me, it made sense when I was writing it.
Rotten - give us your best guess as to what happens to the loser in this race. Kuhl retires? Massa tries again in 2010?
The big factor is the 2010 census and the re-districting that will take place before 2012. WNY will probably lose 2 districts. Instead of 26-29, we're probably looking at Buffalo, Rochester and Syracuse districts, with the Buffalo district being urban and suburban Buffalo, and the Rochester and Syracuse districts taking all of the rural areas occupied by 25, 26 and 29. It's pretty likely that all these districts will be majority Democrat.
Louise Slaughter will retire. Dan Maffei will will 25 and will keep the Syracuse district. Brian Higgins will have the Buffalo district. If Alice Kryzan wins, she'll go up against Higgins for that district. If Lee wins, he'll have two terms and then be out.
So, if Kuhl loses, there's no real reason to run in 2010 for a one-term seat that he'll be re-districted out of. If he wins, he has two more terms and retires or loses after re-districting.
If Massa wins, he's the likely candidate for the new Rochester district in 2012. If he loses, he might go up against Kuhl in 2010, but even if he doesn't, he might come back in 2012 to try for the new Rochester district.
Long answer to a short question, but it's one I've been thinking about a fair amount recently. There was a lot of ridiculous gerrymandering after the 2000 census because it was possible to carve out some barely winnable Republican districts. I don't think that will happen after 2010, so I'm hoping we'll have some more reasonable districting.
Thanks
Speaking of Redistricting, it looks like California Prop 11, which would set up a citizens commission to do the redistricting, now done by the legislature, is doing well in the polls (45 to 30, 25% undecided). I think that NJ and a couple other states have that system.
Next to the last paragraph in this article:
http://www.sacbee.com/111/story/1359113.html
I wonder if anyone has done a study to see if it has any affect on congressional turnover.
If that does pass, it will be a major benefit to California.
I know of no study on Congressional turnover, but if you look at WNY, it's likely that there would be one less Republican district if the districts had been set by a non-partisan commission rather than politicians. Instead of a weird Gerrymander over to Niagara Falls to pick up the Democrats there, NY-28 would have Rochester and most of the suburbs (D). NY-27 would be Buffalo and some suburbs (D), NY-26 would be Buffalo and Niagara Falls and probably some surrounding counties (D), and NY-29 would be the Southern Tier with Chataqua and some more of the rural counties between Rochester and Buffalo (R).
I have to imagine there are many more such districts in the nation.
Gerrymandering? I thought it was all done scientifically. :) I love the sense of humor our politicians have. On the map I've linked to, you can clearly see that either District 24 is #1 or it is giving all the rest of us the finger. :)
http://www.cqpolitics.com/wmspage.cfm?parm1=28
Sorry, click on New York when you get to the map.
It also looks like 26 is pushing 28 into the lake.
I like the close up of New York City - it looks like every third subway stop is in another district.
They'll be getting more:
"The prime target for those cuts will be the eight counties of Western New York, which lost 56,000 residents between 2000 and 2007, based on federal estimates. The rest of Upstate added 10,000 people during the same span, and Downstate added 347,000."
http://buffalo.bizjournals.com/buffalo/stories/2008/11/03/story4.html?b=1225688400^1724831
Whoa! 2,000 volunteers!? My goodness. Didn't know The Old Main had that big a bus.
Love the minute by minute schedule with 5 minute stops. Proves Massa's cursory attention to us peasants of Western New York.
Glad to see he is keeping it simple with his transportation; I did see Grandma on top of his RV.
You need to get your faux outrage straight. Are you upset that Massa is condescending and treating you like a peasant, or are you calling Massa a hillbilly/peasant?