Saw something in the Wall Street Journal that said McCain beat Obama in the district. I can believe it but I'm wondering if you can confirm it. That's the gold standard of vulnerability for Democratic congresspeople.
Thu, 10/08/2009 - 17:07 — Rottenchester
I think McCain beat Obama in the 29th, but I don't have the numbers at my fingertips.
The "gold standard" is actually something called the Cook PVI - Partisan Voter Index. The 29th is R+5, indicating that over the last two presidential elections, the district voted 5 points more Republican for President than the national average. This has always been a tough district for a Democrat, but there are other, tougher districts where a Democrat has held on. For example, North Dakota is R+10, and South Dakota is R+9, and both are represented by Democrats.
Comments
Saw something in the Wall Street Journal that said McCain beat Obama in the district. I can believe it but I'm wondering if you can confirm it. That's the gold standard of vulnerability for Democratic congresspeople.
I think McCain beat Obama in the 29th, but I don't have the numbers at my fingertips.
The "gold standard" is actually something called the Cook PVI - Partisan Voter Index. The 29th is R+5, indicating that over the last two presidential elections, the district voted 5 points more Republican for President than the national average. This has always been a tough district for a Democrat, but there are other, tougher districts where a Democrat has held on. For example, North Dakota is R+10, and South Dakota is R+9, and both are represented by Democrats.